
The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the benchmark interest rate at 4.35% for the ninth consecutive time, stating progress in controlling inflation, though the economic outlook remains uncertain.

China's November trade data missed expectations, with slower exports, lower imports, but a surprise rise in the trade surplus. The government promises more stimulus measures to boost growth.

CME 'FedWatch' shows an 85.8% chance of a 25bps rate cut by the Fed in December and a 22% chance of a 50bps cut in January. Morgan Stanley economists predict rate cuts in both months.

BOJ divisions deepen over rate hike timing. While Governor Ueda calls it "imminent," dovish members warn against early hikes risking recovery. December hike odds drop to 36%, with recovery and inflation in focus.

The Fed's Beige Book reports slight November growth and rising business optimism. Powell notes stronger-than-expected U.S. economy and easing inflation, allowing for cautious rate cuts ahead.

During the interview, Powell stated that the Federal Reserve would be cautious in cutting interest rates. He also reaffirmed the Fed's independence and expressed confidence in his relationship with Treasury Secretary candidate Besnett.

At the New York Times DealBook Summit, Fed Chairman Powell stated that given the strong economy and uncertain inflation outlook, the Fed doesn't need to rush into cutting rates and will adopt a more cautious approach.

Federal Reserve officials adopt a cautious stance ahead of December. While some support a rate cut, the overall position leans towards a wait-and-see approach, with market expectations suggesting slower rate cuts next year.

Federal Reserve officials have stated that the decision on a rate cut in December will depend on the forthcoming November employment data, as the market focuses on the future direction of monetary policy.

Both COMEX gold and SHFE gold main contracts' prices have fallen, with the market possibly having already priced in a December rate cut, thereby heightening caution regarding potential pullback risks.

In October, U.S. PCE rose 2.3% YoY, with core PCE at 2.8%, signaling ongoing inflation. Trump's proposed tariffs may push prices higher, posing inflation risks and prompting the Fed to proceed cautiously with rate cuts.

Chicago Fed's Goolsbee sees a neutral rate nearing, urging slower rate cuts. US consumer confidence rose, lifting economic optimism. The dollar retreated as the euro and pound gained support.

Spot gold edged lower Wednesday on ceasefire news and policy impacts but remains bullish long-term, driven by safe-haven demand and rate cut expectations. Markets eye Fed policies and global geopolitics.

The market generally predicts that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce a 50 basis point interest rate cut this week, lowering the rate to 4.25% in response to the challenges of inflation and economic slowdown.

Chicago Fed President Goolsbee stated that unless there are significant signs of economic overheating, the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates, gradually moving towards a neutral rate level.
avif0116
01-16
News0124
04-07
TikTok封禁可能导致美国小企业与创作者损失超过13亿美元
04-07
韩国股市反弹逾2%,政府承诺采取措施稳定市场情绪,政治动荡后市场回升
04-07
英国财政大臣呼吁加强与欧盟关系,欧元区投资者信心降至一年低点,美元持续上涨
2024-12-10
金价震荡微涨,关注美国CPI和全球央行降息预期,地缘局势继续施压
2024-12-10
美国11月CPI可能影响美联储降息路径,英镑兑美元反弹受阻,技术面显示上行仍有挑战
2024-12-10
澳洲联储连续第九次维持利率在13年高位,暗示通胀控制有所进展但前景仍不确定
2024-12-10
中国11月进出口数据低于预期,出口增长放缓、进口下降,贸易顺差意外增加
03-24
美联储12月降息25基点概率升至85.8%,投资者大幅押注宽松政策
2024-12-10
玉米价格创6月以来新高,大豆承压下行,市场走势受美国农业部报告指引
2024-12-10
叙利亚政局剧变与全球地缘政治紧张局势推动油价波动,原油市场面临不确定性挑战
2024-12-10
美国国债市场的政治化:特朗普当选与贝森特担任财长带来的影响
2024-12-10
叙利亚政局突变及全球政治动荡推动贵金属暴涨,现货黄金单日涨近40美元
2024-12-10
印度央行行长更替!“鸽派”Sanjay Malhotra接任或为降息铺路,市场预期政策调整
2024-12-10