港股市場中,煤炭板塊延續跌勢,多個龍頭股價下挫。中煤能源(01898)下跌3.96%,報7.99港元;中國神華(01088)跌3.01%,報29港元;首鋼資源(00639)跌2.33%,報2.51港元;兗礦能源(01171)下滑2.61%,報8.97港元。
華泰證券分析指出,受煤價同比下降影響,今年上半年煤炭板塊的公司平均歸母淨利潤同比減少20.7%。其中,動力煤企業得益於長協煤的穩定銷售,利潤下降幅度相對較小,而煉焦煤企業則受產銷量和價格波動影響更大。預計下半年動力煤龍頭企業由於較高的長協銷售比例,可能維持較好的盈利水平。
中銀國際發佈的研報也指出,隨着煤炭庫存降至半年內最低水平,非電力行業需求回升,國內動力煤價格可能走強。此外,隨着鋼廠提高產量並在春節前增加煉焦煤庫存,煉焦煤價格或已開始反彈。儘管中銀國際下調了煤炭股的盈利預測及目標價,但近期股價回落後,大多數煤炭股顯現出較強吸引力。
Risk Warning and Disclaimer The market carries risks, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and has not taken into account individual users' specific investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Users should consider whether any opinions, viewpoints, or conclusions in this article are suitable for their particular circumstances. Investing based on this is at one's own responsibility.