今日焦點美元兌日元 - 2024 年 6 月 4 日
套息交易推動日元貶值:日元走弱和美元走強增加了套息交易的吸引力,日元的走軟進一步推動套息交易的回報,只有基本面消息上出現預期之外的利好消息,日元才能打破當前的惡性循環。
央行政策差異:本週的就業數據若能進一步提升降息預期,則美元本週的貶值傾向或能推動日元走向短期的升值趨勢。
技術分析亮點:
隨機震盪指標:根據4小時圖,指標在50中位線上方發出空頭信號,即將進入超賣區域暗示匯價短期下跌力度強勁,值得隨時關注做空機會。
均線支撐:依據日線圖昨日匯價跌破黑色支撐線156.560水平一帶,若反彈不超該價位,則大概率將跌破紅色33日均線,看向黑色65日均線。
樞軸指標:
當日中樞價位155.75,
155.75之上看漲,第一目標157.03,第二目標157.40
155.75之下看跌,第一目標155.13,第二目標154.75
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